Back in black elephant territory again today.
- 5 billion cell phones. Over time, much more 3G. What happens in a world where everybody has an internet-connected cell phone but billions live in absolute poverty?
- Collapse of previously first-world countries like Iceland, Greece, Ireland… and America? How does it feel for 20% of the population to go back to farming?
- Capital starvation during a period which requires radical transformation. We need to change, change costs money, and we have none. This goes straight to the heart of the big questions.
- Nanosolar and Konarka. Either we’re going to get ultra-cheap solar panels, or we’re not.
All this stuff seems to sit in the same black hole that my questions about the Big Society lived in. The most important question, to the fate of the world likely, is “can Nanosolar and Konarka and all the rest deliver?”
Only time will tell.