• Panflu scare conclusions.

    by  • May 4, 2009 • Flu • 0 Comments

    Three points.

    1> Initial reports from Mexico were of a potentially civilization-threatening flu: infectious as hell, killing one in twelve of those it infected.

    2> Response to that threat was lax: school closures were slow, testing / masks / etc. at airports didn’t happen.

    3> Complacency is not warranted because of bad data.

    As I’ve said many times, I’m not a pessimist, I’m an alarmist, and I stand by that position: when there’s a credible threat of this magnitude – and panflu at these levels is a very, very strong threat – doing what it takes now is a sane and rational choice.

    More on flucode later today.

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    Vinay Gupta is a consultant on disaster relief and risk management.


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