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Avoiding Capitalism for the Next Four Billion lecture notes

Part 1: the genocide of the poor. *what is poverty, and what is it to be poor? * *lots of definitions. the one that concerns me is **"poverty means dying of being poor." ** *How many people every year die of being poor? * **Every year, 60 million people die globally (all causes.) ** **UN FAO estimates 30+ million of those deaths are affected **by malnutition. These aren't people starving to death, **it's just that poor nutrition is a factor. ** **If you start looking at dirty water, cooking on open fires, **lack of medical care, preventable disease, if you rack all **of this up ** **the "povery cluster" deaths that are absolutely directly caused **by poverty at at least 10 million people a year. ** **people are dying of poverty many times faster than they were **killed in concentration camps during the Holocaust. ** *This is the genocide of the poor, and it is ongoing. Almost never do you *see it directly addressed or stated in such blunt terms, but I think that *the numbers warrant this kind of bold and direct statement. * *Some historical context. * **500 years ago, nearly everybody died of being poor ** **The kings and queens of europe died of stupid diseases ***and in their 50s ** **Nobody had good sanitation ** **Nobody had known-pure drinking water ***they all drank beer to stay well! *** **Populations were much smaller ** **There was nothing to contrast poverty to ** *But still... 10 million people a year is about a thousand an hour. * *This problem *DEFINES* serious business. * *Mostly these are invisible deaths. It's 20% infant mortality, it's people *dying in their 40s and 50s from preventable diseases. It's a lifetime *of bad diet robbing people of their immunity. * *I want to make this stuff clear to you because I want you to understand *how angry these people are going to be *when they work out clearly *that we have been completely ignoring them *while living in absolute luxury. * *This is a bomb made from potential political consciousness. Part 2: what can be done? *1> food production *Ivette Perfecto estimates that the agricultural output of the small farms *can be doubled with simple organic farming techniques. * *Simple manual pumps can greatly help with irrigation, also multiplying *crop yields. * *Note that none of this requires hand outs. *This is about _knowledge_ * *So this more or less takes care of food. * *2> birth control *This should be obvious. It's mainly suppressed by religious groups *(notably the Catholic church, but right wing protestant groups too.) * *I hope there is a particularly unpleasant hell for those who *stood against women's reproductive rights. * *3> drinking water *a variety of simple techniques exist, from rope pumps through to *biosand water filters. again, costs are well within local budgets, *and the net result is drinkable water nearly anywhere in the world *using more-or-less what is available, or a few cheap imports. * *nobody doubts that the technology exists. * *4> cooking fires *cooking over an open fire is like smoking 40 a day *children in that environment are particularly vulnerable *millions of people die of respiratory complaints of these types every year * *multiple approaches: rocket stoves, gasification stoves, solar cookers * *5> micronutrient deficiency *people are a bit short of folic acid or B1 or zinc and it messes them up *fortifying common foodstuffs or handing out pills is cheap, but not *simply about knowledge, as most of these other interventions are. * *Note how simple this is. It's all really simple, basic stuff. * *Here's some facts on telecommunication. * *1> 50% of the human race has cell phones now. * *2> Projected to be 75% by end of 2011. * *3> Likely to be nearly 100% by 2020. * *4> On the hardware side, change continues to accelerate - a 2020 cell phone is *likely to include technologies like video projectors, virtual keyboards, *face and voice recognition, full access to the internet nearly anywhere in *the world and so on. Complete convergence between computers and phones is *nearly certain. * *So let's think about this. * *How does having net access affect these scenarios? * *Well, _most_ of these critical technologies could, in theory, be learned *online from detailed videos. These are simple technologies, and even the *awareness about the health implications of these issues - and the knowledge *that there are alternative available - could be enough to catalyze real change. * *Think about that. 10 years from now, the network will be in place to deliver *these kinds of ideas and tools - globally. * *Will the content be ready? That's up to us. I'm working on it, and so are *a lot of other people. * 3> The Soft Development Path *1 billion capitalists come close to exahausting the world's natural resources. * *There is no way we can have 5.5 billion more people in the same kind of *lifestyle as the Europeans, never mind the Americans. * *It's not just about running out of oil: it's about coal, about steel, about *climate stability, about minerals like coltan, about biodiversity loss, *about topsoil stripping and mechanized agricuture... * *There are a *thousand* reasons why the world will break before we have *another 5.5 billion people living as we do. It cannot be done. * *One simple point: for many resources, oil particuarly, if demand increases *very rapidly, the goods are basically sold at auction. The single global rich *buy them, and the single global poor - whatever country they may be in - do *without. Auction pricing of commodities like oil is bad enough, but when it *comes to food... anybody remember those biofuels riots? * *Like that, but 1000x worse. * *Are we going to have a world with 6.5 billion people fighting *tooth and nail for the 1 billion or so first world lifestyle slots *while everybody else farms with their bare hands and hopes they *will get lucky one day and move to the city? * *NO! * *But, still, we need a coherent model - an path out of poverty, not towards *the incredibly unscalable and unsustainable model of the current First World *but towards something else, * *something * *** DURABLE *** GLOBALLY SUSTAINABLE *** REALISTIC ** *here's the notion * *1> test and deploy these appropriate technology solutions * **this has to be a global program ** **it has to be massively funded ** **it has to start with volunteers to gain credibility ** **we are *already* doing this. ** *2> we document everything, lavishly, and in many languages * **so that any bright kid can watch the stuff on their phone ** **figure out how to build it from the instructions ** **build it ** **and solve first their family, and then their village's **infrastructure problems ** **we're talking about seeding the solutions, all over the world ** *3> those who want to massively improve their current lifestyle can * **fix the causes of such sharply reduced lifespan ** **improve economic welfare by increasing farm productivity ** **massively transform education levels through online resources ** ***this isn't even expensive** * 4> Capitalism? Communism? NO! *to a very significant degree both capitalism and communism were responses to *the problem of "who controls the factories." * *(I'm not an expert, and I'm not addressing Maoism.) * *Capitalism? * **Right now, the pitch from Capitalism to the developing world is ** ***Worked great for the Rich! ** ***You should try it! ** ***Here, have a loan! ** **Problem is, they're *already* trying Capitalism * ***That's where all their natural resources went ** ***And only the few rich in those countries are benefiting ** *Communism? * **Certainly the Chinese peasants did much better than those in other **parts of the world for many years. ** **The "market communism" of Kerala appears to have a plausible solve **for poverty - 76 year lifespan on $300 a year - by focussing on **land reform and providing basic services first. ** **Kerala may be where several keys to the future of the world **can be found. ** **But Chinese communism, like Russian communism, tipped into **mass-starvation and mass murder. ** **We don't know if that would happen else where. ** **We also don't have any reason to assume that classical communism **is stable. ** **And centralization of power is bad, right? ** *So what kind of political system is it * **where you focus on spreading knowledge ** **and the knowledge lets people thrive ** **without having to leave their land ** ***or change their lifestyle *** **and without making more rules, regulations, commandments ** **and without levying taxes to pay for it all? ** **Cooperative anarchy? Digital Gandhi-ism? ** *Is it a political system? * **YES! The body that provides this education, and the social networking **tools to organize all these people to learn from *each other* **is providing many of the same services traditionally associated with **government - it's an _infrastructure_ house, at root - but it's **more like a global digital university. ** *As an alternative to Capitalism and Communism in the developing world? * **Capitalism and Communism might still exist ** ***BUT NEITHER ONE HOLDS OUT THE ONLY PATH TO RESCUING THE ***POOR FROM THEIR LIVING CONDITIONS *** *If we get the knowledge resources out there, the poor can rescue themselves * **without the need for a new ideology* ** * Although Mahatma Gandhi and Buckminster Fuller worked this all out seventy or eighty years ago.

One Comment

  1. Vaughn wrote:

    I really enjoy the depth and clarity of thought in all your projects. This lecture is another outstanding example. Permit me to ask a follow up question…

    You address thoroughly the institutional obstacles to this knowledge. In your opinion what are the individual and communal (cultural writ small) obstacles to this knowledge?

    Tuesday, January 13, 2009 at 8:28 pm | Permalink

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