• Avoiding Capitalism for the Next Four Billion lecture notes

    by  • January 11, 2009 • Personal • 1 Comment

    Part 1: the genocide of the poor.

    *what is poverty, and what is it to be poor?
    *
    *lots of definitions. the one that concerns me is
    **”poverty means dying of being poor.”
    **
    *How many people every year die of being poor?
    *
    **Every year, 60 million people die globally (all causes.)
    **
    **UN FAO estimates 30+ million of those deaths are affected
    **by malnutition. These aren’t people starving to death,
    **it’s just that poor nutrition is a factor.
    **
    **If you start looking at dirty water, cooking on open fires,
    **lack of medical care, preventable disease, if you rack all
    **of this up
    **
    **the “povery cluster” deaths that are absolutely directly caused
    **by poverty at at least 10 million people a year.
    **
    **people are dying of poverty many times faster than they were
    **killed in concentration camps during the Holocaust.
    **
    *This is the genocide of the poor, and it is ongoing. Almost never do you
    *see it directly addressed or stated in such blunt terms, but I think that
    *the numbers warrant this kind of bold and direct statement.
    *
    *Some historical context.
    *
    **500 years ago, nearly everybody died of being poor
    **
    **The kings and queens of europe died of stupid diseases
    ***and in their 50s
    **
    **Nobody had good sanitation
    **
    **Nobody had known-pure drinking water
    ***they all drank beer to stay well!
    ***
    **Populations were much smaller
    **
    **There was nothing to contrast poverty to
    **
    *But still… 10 million people a year is about a thousand an hour.
    *
    *This problem *DEFINES* serious business.
    *
    *Mostly these are invisible deaths. It’s 20% infant mortality, it’s people
    *dying in their 40s and 50s from preventable diseases. It’s a lifetime
    *of bad diet robbing people of their immunity.
    *
    *I want to make this stuff clear to you because I want you to understand
    *how angry these people are going to be
    *when they work out clearly
    *that we have been completely ignoring them
    *while living in absolute luxury.
    *
    *This is a bomb made from potential political consciousness.

    Part 2: what can be done?

    *1> food production
    *Ivette Perfecto estimates that the agricultural output of the small farms
    *can be doubled with simple organic farming techniques.
    *
    *Simple manual pumps can greatly help with irrigation, also multiplying
    *crop yields.
    *
    *Note that none of this requires hand outs.
    *This is about _knowledge_
    *
    *So this more or less takes care of food.
    *
    *2> birth control
    *This should be obvious. It’s mainly suppressed by religious groups
    *(notably the Catholic church, but right wing protestant groups too.)
    *
    *I hope there is a particularly unpleasant hell for those who
    *stood against women’s reproductive rights.
    *
    *3> drinking water
    *a variety of simple techniques exist, from rope pumps through to
    *biosand water filters. again, costs are well within local budgets,
    *and the net result is drinkable water nearly anywhere in the world
    *using more-or-less what is available, or a few cheap imports.
    *
    *nobody doubts that the technology exists.
    *
    *4> cooking fires
    *cooking over an open fire is like smoking 40 a day
    *children in that environment are particularly vulnerable
    *millions of people die of respiratory complaints of these types every year
    *
    *multiple approaches: rocket stoves, gasification stoves, solar cookers
    *
    *5> micronutrient deficiency
    *people are a bit short of folic acid or B1 or zinc and it messes them up
    *fortifying common foodstuffs or handing out pills is cheap, but not
    *simply about knowledge, as most of these other interventions are.
    *
    *Note how simple this is. It’s all really simple, basic stuff.
    *
    *Here’s some facts on telecommunication.
    *
    *1> 50% of the human race has cell phones now.
    *
    *2> Projected to be 75% by end of 2011.
    *
    *3> Likely to be nearly 100% by 2020.
    *
    *4> On the hardware side, change continues to accelerate – a 2020 cell phone is
    *likely to include technologies like video projectors, virtual keyboards,
    *face and voice recognition, full access to the internet nearly anywhere in
    *the world and so on. Complete convergence between computers and phones is
    *nearly certain.
    *
    *So let’s think about this.
    *
    *How does having net access affect these scenarios?
    *
    *Well, _most_ of these critical technologies could, in theory, be learned
    *online from detailed videos. These are simple technologies, and even the
    *awareness about the health implications of these issues – and the knowledge
    *that there are alternative available – could be enough to catalyze real change.
    *
    *Think about that. 10 years from now, the network will be in place to deliver
    *these kinds of ideas and tools – globally.
    *
    *Will the content be ready? That’s up to us. I’m working on it, and so are
    *a lot of other people.
    *
    3> The Soft Development Path

    *1 billion capitalists come close to exahausting the world’s natural resources.
    *
    *There is no way we can have 5.5 billion more people in the same kind of
    *lifestyle as the Europeans, never mind the Americans.
    *
    *It’s not just about running out of oil: it’s about coal, about steel, about
    *climate stability, about minerals like coltan, about biodiversity loss,
    *about topsoil stripping and mechanized agricuture…
    *
    *There are a *thousand* reasons why the world will break before we have
    *another 5.5 billion people living as we do. It cannot be done.
    *
    *One simple point: for many resources, oil particuarly, if demand increases
    *very rapidly, the goods are basically sold at auction. The single global rich
    *buy them, and the single global poor – whatever country they may be in – do
    *without. Auction pricing of commodities like oil is bad enough, but when it
    *comes to food… anybody remember those biofuels riots?
    *
    *Like that, but 1000x worse.
    *
    *Are we going to have a world with 6.5 billion people fighting
    *tooth and nail for the 1 billion or so first world lifestyle slots
    *while everybody else farms with their bare hands and hopes they
    *will get lucky one day and move to the city?
    *
    *NO!
    *
    *But, still, we need a coherent model – an path out of poverty, not towards
    *the incredibly unscalable and unsustainable model of the current First World
    *but towards something else,
    *
    *something
    *
    *** DURABLE
    *** GLOBALLY SUSTAINABLE
    *** REALISTIC
    **
    *here’s the notion
    *
    *1> test and deploy these appropriate technology solutions
    *
    **this has to be a global program
    **
    **it has to be massively funded
    **
    **it has to start with volunteers to gain credibility
    **
    **we are *already* doing this.
    **
    *2> we document everything, lavishly, and in many languages
    *
    **so that any bright kid can watch the stuff on their phone
    **
    **figure out how to build it from the instructions
    **
    **build it
    **
    **and solve first their family, and then their village’s
    **infrastructure problems
    **
    **we’re talking about seeding the solutions, all over the world
    **
    *3> those who want to massively improve their current lifestyle can
    *
    **fix the causes of such sharply reduced lifespan
    **
    **improve economic welfare by increasing farm productivity
    **
    **massively transform education levels through online resources
    **
    ***this isn’t even expensive**
    *
    4> Capitalism? Communism? NO!

    *to a very significant degree both capitalism and communism were responses to
    *the problem of “who controls the factories.”
    *
    *(I’m not an expert, and I’m not addressing Maoism.)
    *
    *Capitalism?
    *
    **Right now, the pitch from Capitalism to the developing world is
    **
    ***Worked great for the Rich!
    **
    ***You should try it!
    **
    ***Here, have a loan!
    **
    **Problem is, they’re *already* trying Capitalism
    *
    ***That’s where all their natural resources went
    **
    ***And only the few rich in those countries are benefiting
    **
    *Communism?
    *
    **Certainly the Chinese peasants did much better than those in other
    **parts of the world for many years.
    **
    **The “market communism” of Kerala appears to have a plausible solve
    **for poverty – 76 year lifespan on $300 a year – by focussing on
    **land reform and providing basic services first.
    **
    **Kerala may be where several keys to the future of the world
    **can be found.
    **
    **But Chinese communism, like Russian communism, tipped into
    **mass-starvation and mass murder.
    **
    **We don’t know if that would happen else where.
    **
    **We also don’t have any reason to assume that classical communism
    **is stable.
    **
    **And centralization of power is bad, right?
    **
    *So what kind of political system is it
    *
    **where you focus on spreading knowledge
    **
    **and the knowledge lets people thrive
    **
    **without having to leave their land
    **
    ***or change their lifestyle
    ***
    **and without making more rules, regulations, commandments
    **
    **and without levying taxes to pay for it all?
    **
    **Cooperative anarchy? Digital Gandhi-ism?
    **
    *Is it a political system?
    *
    **YES! The body that provides this education, and the social networking
    **tools to organize all these people to learn from *each other*
    **is providing many of the same services traditionally associated with
    **government – it’s an _infrastructure_ house, at root – but it’s
    **more like a global digital university.
    **
    *As an alternative to Capitalism and Communism in the developing world?
    *
    **Capitalism and Communism might still exist
    **
    ***BUT NEITHER ONE HOLDS OUT THE ONLY PATH TO RESCUING THE
    ***POOR FROM THEIR LIVING CONDITIONS
    ***
    *If we get the knowledge resources out there, the poor can rescue themselves
    *
    **without the need for a new ideology*
    **
    * Although Mahatma Gandhi and Buckminster Fuller worked this all out seventy or eighty years ago.

    flattr this!

    About

    Vinay Gupta is a consultant on disaster relief and risk management.

    http://hexayurt.com/plan

    One Response to Avoiding Capitalism for the Next Four Billion lecture notes

    1. Vaughn
      January 13, 2009 at 8:28 pm

      I really enjoy the depth and clarity of thought in all your projects. This lecture is another outstanding example. Permit me to ask a follow up question…

      You address thoroughly the institutional obstacles to this knowledge. In your opinion what are the individual and communal (cultural writ small) obstacles to this knowledge?

    Leave a Reply

    Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *