Kai was bitching about paying for web sites earlier on today. Somewhere in my foggy brain a thought emerged: well, if it was a buck a year, would that be easier? Here’s sort of what I’m thinking. Let there be a site, SimpleSubscriptions. This site takes money in $20 lumps – nothing smaller – to [...]
Read more →Three points. 1> Initial reports from Mexico were of a potentially civilization-threatening flu: infectious as hell, killing one in twelve of those it infected. 2> Response to that threat was lax: school closures were slow, testing / masks / etc. at airports didn’t happen. 3> Complacency is not warranted because of bad data. As I’ve [...]
Read more →The following is a quote from Important Information About Swine Flu an NHS pandemic flu leaflet which should be coming through your door one day soon. DO I NEED A FACE MASK? You may have seen face masks being given out to the public in other countries on the news. However, the available scientific evidence [...]
Read more →In a world-first clinical trial of the efficacy of masks, researchers found adult mask wearers* in the home were four times more likely than non-wearers to be protected against respiratory viruses, including the common cold. The findings – published recently in Emerging Infectious Diseases, the journal of the US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention [...]
Read more →You’ve read the articles by now I’m sure. I’m about to find that sixth gear I’ve been sitting on all this time that I’ve been idling in 5th gear at 120 mph in the dark on iced over roads. Enjoy.
Read more →And though it’s far too soon to panic, people who wish to take precautions against infection should see the CDC’s recommendations and Vinay Gupta’s Flu Code. From Wired’s swine flu primer. I was really pleased they covered the Flu Code.
Read more →New York City metro area has a population of about 18 million people. The 1918 flu infected something like a third of the population globally. CAR (Case Attack Rate) = 33%. Something like 2% to 5% of those infected died. For our calculation we will use 2%. CFR (Case Fatality Rate) = 2% 18 million [...]
Read more →The Black Elephant is a combination of two common phrases. The “elephant sitting in the room” is the thing which everybody knows is important but nobody will talk about. It is a taboo. The “black swan” is an extreme or unlikely event which shreds prior risk management strategies. A “black elephant” – the phrase came [...]
Read more →So here’s the basic situation as I understand it, as of Monday morning, April 27th London time. It’s mainly defined by questions, as you might expect this early in the situation. Here are the questions and the data we have so far. 1> What’s the CFR? The lethality of a flu is known as its [...]
Read more →Flu Code 0.1Beta English – A Public Service from The Institute for Collapsonomics. 1) If I have any signs of possible flu infection I will stay at home. 2) I will stay away from crowds whenever possible and always wear a mask while in public places. 3) I will cleanse my hands at the doorway [...]
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