Even for me I was on a tear. http://newfluwiki2.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=2356#92400 The SPRS paper is definitely designed to stake out an unusual position – fundamental optimism about dealing with a high CFR flu outbreak. As such it runs directly contrary to a lot of established wisdom. To really get into the details of why I think it [...]
Read more →cat playing the therimin.
Read more →I think that Ron Paul was much needed chlorine in the pool – but a little goes a long way. Obama looks like an electable post-cold war president, somebody who can actually move America forwards. I’m not sure that America has a lot of strong options going forward – the mess that they’ve made of [...]
Read more →http://newfluwiki2.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=2356#92150 Good doctor, I’m simply Mr. Gupta. http://files.howtolivewiki.com/TIDES_PACKET/TIDES_BOARDS_V2_low_resolution.pdf This is a roughly 40 page document I did for the http://STAR-TIDES.net project – a sort of distributed thinktank on infrastructure issues as they pertain to emergencies and sustainable development, mostly operated by National Defense University. It gives a pretty good overview of some important models for [...]
Read more →http://newfluwiki2.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=2356 You know, I’ve been keeping my head down over here for a while, but I think it is time to come out of the woodwork. As you know, I wrote a piece called Severe Panflu Response Strategies (SPRS), which examines a scenario with a CFR of 50% and a CAR of 50% – the [...]
Read more →http://www.chitram.org/mallu/keralamodel.htmhttp://spectrum.ieee.org/print/4109 IEEE article suggesting that Metcalf’s law (value of a network equals the square of the number of users) is wrong, and the truth is more like n log(n). Seems to me like this ought to be something one can check with, say, sale prices or other financial performance metrics.
Read more →Kerala Miracle It’s really hard to find good links on the Kerala Miracle. Searching for that term typically returns, god help us, tourism to some kind of christian sacred site, which is not, at all, the kind of miracle most people are looking for when they google for those terms. Do us all a favor: [...]
Read more →http://guptaoption.com/7.soft_development_paths.php Draft of a new piece over at Gupta Option. Soft Development Paths A tangible solution to global poverty and environmental degradation Sustainable development means different things to different people. This is a plan for making sustainable development completely tangible and real for the poorest half of the human race by creating a “soft development [...]
Read more →THE traditional face of survivalism is that of a shaggy loner in camouflage, holed up in a cabin in the wilderness and surrounded by cases of canned goods and ammunition. Corbis DUGOUT A father and daughter enter a Cold War bomb shelter. Enlarge This Image Warner Brothers Pictures ALIVE AND ALONE Will Smith stars in [...]
Read more →Cybernetics and Stafford Beer were introduced to me by a friend who was a former mainframe systems analyst interested in using Beer’s Viable Systems Model for the design of peace processes more resilient to spoiler dynamics in the erstwhile Sri Lankan peace process. http://ict4peace.wordpress.com/2008/04/07/ict-socialism-and-apartheid/ About, you know, running Chile by computer and teletype machine in [...]
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